Editor’s Note: This very informative article is representative of how analytically based studies can sharpen a debate. The Arctic Institute study, “The Future of Arctic Shipping:
A New Silk Road for China?” is attached here.
The Arctic Institute: The Center for Circumpolar Security Studies
Future shipping in the Polar region will mostly consist of seasonal destinational transport, delivering supplies into the Arctic for its increasing economic activity and transporting the region’s natural resources to markets in East Asia. Apart from these niche opportunities, Arctic shipping routes will be unable to compete with the world’s existing major trade routes. Thus, while climate change will, over the coming decades, transform the frozen north into a seasonally navigable ocean, Arctic shipping routes will not become a new silk road for China.
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